Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
West Ham
24.3%
Draw
57.4%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
West Ham
vs
1.98
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).