Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Rio Ave
24.5%
Draw
24.6%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Rio Ave
vs
0.98
Boavista
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).