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17 Feb 2026 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.0%
Blackpool
24.5%
Draw
32.5%
Mansfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Blackpool

vs
1.15

Mansfield

Markets

BTTS50.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).