Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Exeter
25.3%
Draw
37.0%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Exeter
vs
1.21
Oxford
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).