Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Tranmere
23.8%
Draw
30.0%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Tranmere
vs
1.22
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).