Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Swindon
23.9%
Draw
28.4%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Swindon
vs
1.16
Crewe
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).