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31 Jul 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.4%
Chievo
24.7%
Draw
20.9%
Pescara

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Chievo

vs
1.09

Pescara

Markets

BTTS57.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).