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HHT: 20CSV

26 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.4%
Barcelona
14.6%
Draw
9.0%
Osasuna

Expected Goals (xG)

2.69

Barcelona

vs
0.83

Osasuna

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.546.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.7%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
1-1
6.8%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
5-0
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
0-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).