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01 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.0%
Rotherham
24.7%
Draw
61.3%
Millwall

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Rotherham

vs
1.76

Millwall

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
9.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).