Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Union Berlin
30.4%
Draw
28.4%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Union Berlin
vs
1.00
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).