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DHT: 11CSV

26 Oct 2019 · 14:00

Empoli

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.1%
Trapani
27.2%
Draw
22.6%
Empoli

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Trapani

vs
1.01

Empoli

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).