Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Vallecano
27.9%
Draw
28.4%
Extremadura UD
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Vallecano
vs
0.98
Extremadura UD
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).