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AHT: 02CSV

17 Feb 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.3%
Pau FC
21.3%
Draw
37.4%
Quevilly Rouen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Pau FC

vs
1.62

Quevilly Rouen

Markets

BTTS65.0%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
2-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).