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14 Oct 2022 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.0%
Schalke 04
19.9%
Draw
64.0%
Hoffenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Schalke 04

vs
2.33

Hoffenheim

Markets

BTTS61.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.5%
0-1
6.9%
0-3
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
0-4
3.9%
0-0
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).