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02 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.8%
Huddersfield
26.5%
Draw
18.7%
Sheffield Weds

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Huddersfield

vs
0.86

Sheffield Weds

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).