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23 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.1%
Hajduk Split
22.9%
Draw
12.0%
Vukovar

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Hajduk Split

vs
0.74

Vukovar

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.9%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.2%
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).