Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Valencia
29.0%
Draw
34.0%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Valencia
vs
1.14
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).