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02 Oct 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.8%
Magdeburg
19.9%
Draw
12.3%
Regensburg

Expected Goals (xG)

2.27

Magdeburg

vs
0.88

Regensburg

Markets

BTTS53.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
5.1%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).