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09 Oct 2022 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.9%
Cartagena
28.2%
Draw
46.8%
Leganes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Cartagena

vs
1.30

Leganes

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
10.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).