Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Dumbarton
27.2%
Draw
7.3%
Stranraer
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Dumbarton
vs
0.31
Stranraer
Markets
BTTS20.8%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.552.5%
Over 2.525.4%
Over 3.510.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
24.6%
0-0
18.0%
2-0
18.0%
3-0
8.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-1
5.6%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-2
1.2%
4-1
1.0%
5-0
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).