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05 Apr 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.3%
Salford
25.5%
Draw
43.2%
Port Vale

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Salford

vs
1.40

Port Vale

Markets

BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
7.7%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).