Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Exeter
28.5%
Draw
22.6%
Macclesfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Exeter
vs
0.74
Macclesfield
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).