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09 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.4%
Elgin
28.3%
Draw
31.3%
Bonnyrigg Rose

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Elgin

vs
1.39

Bonnyrigg Rose

Markets

BTTS61.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).