Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Empoli
26.6%
Draw
21.2%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Empoli
vs
0.99
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).