Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Crewe
25.7%
Draw
29.9%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Crewe
vs
1.09
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).