Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
İstanbul Başakşehir
36.2%
Draw
18.5%
Kocaelispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
0.72
Kocaelispor
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.582.7%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.3%
1-1
15.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).