Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Brest
24.5%
Draw
35.6%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Brest
vs
1.30
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).