Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
La Coruna
24.9%
Draw
33.1%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
La Coruna
vs
1.30
Malaga
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).