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AHT: 03

17 May 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.2%
Antwerp
31.8%
Draw
53.0%
Union Berlin

Expected Goals (xG)

0.51

Antwerp

vs
1.20

Union Berlin

Markets

BTTS28.2%
Over 0.581.5%
Over 1.551.3%
Over 2.524.5%
Over 3.59.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
21.4%
0-0
18.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-0
2.3%
2-2
1.7%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).