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01 Dec 2019 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.6%
Xanthi
34.6%
Draw
36.7%
Atromitos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Xanthi

vs
1.00

Atromitos

Markets

BTTS37.6%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.9%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
14.4%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).