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03 May 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.1%
Bradford
24.6%
Draw
23.4%
Fleetwood Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Bradford

vs
0.94

Fleetwood Town

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).