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16 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.6%
Vukovar
30.1%
Draw
37.4%
Varaždin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Vukovar

vs
1.30

Varaždin

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).