Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Bournemouth
27.9%
Draw
22.7%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Bournemouth
vs
1.05
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).