Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Pau FC
20.8%
Draw
42.2%
Rodez
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Pau FC
vs
1.81
Rodez
Markets
BTTS67.3%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.0%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).