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AHT: 00CSV

03 Feb 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.0%
Lecco
19.4%
Draw
68.5%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Lecco

vs
2.32

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).