Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
St Mirren
27.1%
Draw
56.9%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
St Mirren
vs
1.51
Hearts
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).