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HHT: 31

10 Aug 2024 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.5%
Westerlo
27.3%
Draw
58.2%
Union Berlin

Expected Goals (xG)

0.59

Westerlo

vs
1.47

Union Berlin

Markets

BTTS34.7%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.3%
0-2
13.8%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
4.0%
2-1
3.3%
0-4
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
2-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).