Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Hertha
29.3%
Draw
31.0%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Hertha
vs
1.16
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).