Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
Dorking
19.3%
Draw
62.5%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Dorking
vs
2.50
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS67.8%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.573.4%
Over 3.553.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.1%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
7.5%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.7%
2-3
5.0%
0-1
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
1-4
4.7%
0-4
3.6%
2-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).