Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Norwich
28.1%
Draw
19.4%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Norwich
vs
0.81
Oxford
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).