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18 Oct 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.6%
Juve Stabia
29.3%
Draw
21.1%
Avellino

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Juve Stabia

vs
0.86

Avellino

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).