Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
Modena
29.6%
Draw
30.1%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Modena
vs
1.12
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).