Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Udinese
20.3%
Draw
17.0%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Udinese
vs
0.96
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).