Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Hamburg
24.2%
Draw
29.9%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Hamburg
vs
1.50
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS66.8%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
0-2
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).