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AHT: 01CSV

24 Nov 2018

Celtic

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.1%
Hamilton
25.7%
Draw
49.2%
Celtic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Hamilton

vs
1.64

Celtic

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).