Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Carlisle
26.6%
Draw
46.9%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Carlisle
vs
1.35
Colchester
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).