Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Bristol City
26.7%
Draw
21.4%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Bristol City
vs
0.95
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).