Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Värnamo
23.4%
Draw
42.7%
Norrköping
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Värnamo
vs
1.95
Norrköping
Markets
BTTS71.6%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
0-2
4.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).