Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Blackpool
27.4%
Draw
50.0%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Blackpool
vs
1.57
Millwall
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).