Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Milton Keynes Dons
19.5%
Draw
20.1%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.17
Sutton
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).